Effect of Dividend Policy Decision on Share Price Volatility of Modaraba Companies Listed in Pakistan Stock Exchange

Authors

  • Muhammad Siddique Department of Commerce, University of the Punjab, Gujranwala Campus, Pakistan.
  • Kamran Ali Department of Commerce, University of the Punjab, Gujranwala Campus, Pakistan.
  • Saba Anwar Department of Commerce, University of the Punjab, Gujranwala Campus, Pakistan.

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.31384/jisrmsse/2021.18.2.11

Keywords:

Dividend policy decision, share price volatility, Pakistan Stock Exchange

Abstract

This study aims to test the relationship between dividend policy decisions on the share price Volatility of Modaraba Companies quoted in the Pakistan stock exchange. The data for empirical analysis was collected from the Pakistan stock exchange, Recorder archive, and Ksestocks.com. By using the sampling technique, a sample of 19 Modaraba Companies was taken from 2010 to 2018. The empirical analysis was conducted using multiple regression techniques by employing a fixed effect model on panel data. This study also incorporated four control variables (size, growth, operating earning & level of debt) in empirical analysis to avoid multicollinearity problems between dividend policy measures and spurious regression. The results of the study validate the theory of relevance of dividend policy decisions on share price Volatility. Dividend policy has a negative and significant bearing on Stock price volatility. Higher leverage (debt level) leads to higher instability in stock prices. Firm earning volatility is positively associated with share price volatility. Firm size and firm's growth in terms of assets also has a negative but insignificant impact on share price Volatility.

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

References

Abbas, Waheed-Ur-Rehman Syed Gohar, & Qureshi, M. I. (2017). The Impact of Dividend Policy on Share Price Volatility in the Context of Banking Sector of Pakistan. Journal of Business Studies Quarterly, 4(1), 111–129

ALİ, A., Jan, F. A., & Sharif, I. (2015). Effect of Dividend Policy on Stock Prices. Business & Management Studies: An International Journal, 3(1).

Allen, D. E., & Rachim, V. S. (1996). Dividend policy & stock price volatility: Australian evidence. Applied Financial Economics, 6, 175-188.

Al-Sharif, B. M. (2020). Dividend-Payout Policy and Share-Price Volatility in Islamic Banks: Evidence from Jordan. Asian Economic and Financial Review, 10(3), 266.

Arshad, M. A., Munir, S., Ahmad, B., & Waseem, M. (2019). Do factors matter for predicting high-risk stock returns? Comparison of single-, three-and five-factor CAPM. International Journal of Financial Engineering, 6(02), 1950015.

Asghar, M., Shah, S. Z. A., Hamid, K., & Suleman, M. T. (2011). Impact of dividend policy on stock price risk: Empirical evidence from equity market of Pakistan. Far East Journal of Psychology and Business, 4(1), 45-52.

Azhagaiah, R. (2008). The Impact of Dividend Policy on Shareholders' Wealth India. International Research Journal of Finance and Economics, 20(20).

Baskin, J. (1989). Dividend policy and the volatility of common stock. The Journal of Portfolio Management, 15(3), 19-25.

Bekhet, H. A., Alhyari, J. A., & Yusoff, N. Y. M. (2020). Highlighting Determinants of Financial Performance of the Jordanian Financial Sector: Panel Data Approach. International Journal of Financial Research, 11(6).

Bhattacharya, S. (1979). Imperfect information, dividend policy, and "the bird in the hand" fallacy. Bell journal of economics, 10(1), 259-270.

Black, F. (2005). The new dividend puzzle. Georgetown Law Journal, 93(3), 845–895.

Boubakri, N., Chen, R., Guedhami, O., & Li, X. (2019). The Stock Liquidity of Banks: A Comparison between Islamic and Conventional Banks in Emerging Economies. Emerging Markets Review, 39, 210-224.

Brennan, M. (1971). A note on dividend irrelevance and the Gordon valuation model. The Journal of Finance, 26(5), 1115-1121.

Dai, Z., Zhou, H., Wen, F., & He, S. (2020). Efficient predictability of stock return volatility: The role of stock market implied volatility. The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, 52, 101174.

De Bondt, W. F., & Thaler, R. H. (1987). Further evidence on investor overreaction and stock market seasonality. The Journal of Finance, 42(3), 557-581.

Di, L., Shaiban, M. S., & Hasanov, A. S. (2021). The power of investor sentiment in explaining bank stock performance: Listed conventional vs. Islamic banks. Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, 66, 101509.

Dybvig, P. H., & Zender, J. F. (1991). Capital structure and dividend irrelevance with asymmetric information. The Review of Financial Studies, 4(1), 201-219.

Enebrand, A., & Magnusson, T. (2018). Dividend Policy and its Impact on Firm Valuation, (May), 1–46.

Fama, E. F., Fisher, L., Jensen, M. C., & Roll, R. (1969). The adjustment of stock prices to new information. International economic review, 10(1), 1-21.

Farrukh, K., Irshad, S., Shams Khakwani, M., Ishaque, S., & Ansari, N. (2017). Impact of dividend policy on shareholders wealth and firm performance in Pakistan. Cogent Business and Management, 4(1), 69–80.

Gordon, M. J. (1963). Optimal investment and financing policy. The Journal of finance, 18(2), 264-272

Habib, Y., Kiani, Z. I., & Khan, M. A. (2011). Dividend Policy and Share Price Volatility in Nigeria. Jorind, 12(9), 202–210.

Hu, Y., Ni, J., & Wen, L. (2020). A hybrid deep learning approach by integrating LSTM-ANN networks with GARCH model for copper price volatility prediction. Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, 557, 124907.

Hussainey, K., Oscar Mgbame, C., & Chijoke-Mgbame, A. M. (2011). Dividend policy and share price volatility: UK evidence. Journal of Risk Finance, 12(1), 57–68.

Iqbal, Z., Waseem, M. A., & Asad, M. (2014). Impact of Dividend Policy on Shareholders' Wealth: A Study of Selected Manufacturing Industries of Pakistan. International Journal of Innovation and Applied Studies, 6(2), 210.

Lashgari, Z., & Ahmadi, M. (2014). The Impact of Dividend Policy on Stock Price Volatility in theTehran Stock Exchange. Kuwait Chapter of Arabian Journal of Business and Management Review, 3(10), 273–283

Liaqat, A., Nazir, M. S., & Ahmad, I. (2019). Identification of multiple stock bubbles in an emerging market: application of GSADF approach. Economic Change and Restructuring, 52(3), 301-326.

Lintner, J. (1956). Distribution of incomes of corporations among dividends, retained earnings, and taxes. The American Economic Review, 46(2), 97-113.

Masum, A., & Abdullah. (2014). Dividend Policy and Its Impact on Stock Price – A Study on Commercial Banks Listed in Dhaka Stock Exchange. Global Disclosure of Economics and Business, 3(1), 9–20.

Mehmood, Y., & Farid Hasnu, S. A. (2019). Investment-Cash Flow Sensitivity and Financing Constraints: Study of Pakistani Business Group Firms. Available at SSRN 3471042.

Miller, M. H., & Modigliani, F. (1961). Dividend policy, growth, and the valuation of shares. The Journal of Business, 34(4), 411-433.

Munyua, P. N. (2014). Effect of dividend policy on stock prices for firms listed at the Nairobi Securities Exchange. Unpublished MBA Thesis University of Nairobi Kenya.

Nazir, M.S., M.M.Nawaz, W. Anwar & F.Ahmed (2010). Determinants of stock price volatility in Karachi stock exchange: The mediating role of corporate dividend policy. International Research Journal of Finance and Economics, 55(3), 100- 107.

Ndirangu, P. W. (2014). Thesis Effect of Dividend Policy on Future Financial Performance of Firms Listed At The Nairobi Securities Exchange, (November).

Nguyen, D. T., Bui, M. H., & Do, D. H. (2019). The Relationship Of Dividend Policy and Share Price Volatility: A Case in Vietnam. Annals of Economics & Finance, 20(1).

Nguyen, T., Nguyen, H., Tran, Q., & Le, Q. (2020). Dividend policy and share price volatility: empirical evidence from Vietnam. Accounting, 6(2), 67-78.

Nishat, M., & Irfan, Chahudary, M. (2003). Dividend policy and stock price volatility. Journal of Finance.

Nizar Al-Malkawi, H. A. (2007). Determinants of corporate dividend policy in Jordan: an application of the Tobit model. Journal of Economic and Administrative Sciences, 23(2), 44-70.

Olatunde, O. J., Rasaki, S., & Jeremiah, A. B. (2020). Dividend policyand share price volatility (a study of some selected deposit money Banksin Nigeria). International Journal of Advanced Research in Management and Social Sciences, 9(7), 30-46.

Rashid, A., & Rahman, A. Z. M. A. (2008). Dividend Policy and Stock Price Volatility: Evidence from Bangladesh. Journal of Applied Business and Economics, 8(4), 71–81.

Shah, S. A., & Noreen, U. (2016). Stock Price Volatility and Role of Dividend Policy: Empirical Evidence from Pakistan. International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, 6(2), 461–472.

Sijol, N. F., & Basit, A. (2016). Impact of Dividend Policy on Shareholder's Wealth: A study on Manufacturing Industry listed in NASDAQ, America. International Journal of Accounting & Business Management, 4(2), 251–260.

Tasnia, M., AlHabshi, S. M. S. J., & Rosman, R. (2020). The impact of corporate social responsibility on stock price volatility of the US banks: A moderating role of tax. Journal of Financial Reporting and Accounting.

Waiganjo, K. N. (2014). the Effect of Dividend Policy on Market Capitalization for Firms Listed At the Nairobi Securities Exchange By a Research Project Submitted in Partial Fulfillment of the Requirements for the Award of the Degree of Master of Business Administration School

Walter, J. E. (1963). Dividend policy: its influence on the value of the enterprise. The Journal of Finance, 18(2), 280-291.

Zakaria, Z., Muhammed, J., & Zulkifli, A. H. (2012). The impact of dividend policy on the share price volatility. International Journal of Economics and Management Sciences, 2(1), 01–08.

Downloads

Published

2020-12-31

How to Cite

Siddique, M., Ali, K., & Anwar, S. (2020). Effect of Dividend Policy Decision on Share Price Volatility of Modaraba Companies Listed in Pakistan Stock Exchange. JISR Management and Social Sciences & Economics, 18(2), 167–179. https://doi.org/10.31384/jisrmsse/2021.18.2.11

Issue

Section

Original Articles